Delfin 1-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.05/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.45
-40% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.7 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 1.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
195 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2025 Delfin Delfin 0-4 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
08.03.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
29.09.2024 Delfin Delfin 3-2 HT 1-2 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.04.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
09.10.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
09.05.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-0
AWAY LDU Quito
1.21 xG 0.36
28% Ball Possession 72%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
105 Passes 344
60% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Delfin vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Delfin found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Delfin had 28% of the ball to LDU Quito's 72%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Delfin and 2.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Delfin vs LDU Quito?

Delfin 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Delfin 33%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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