Mushuc Runa 1-0 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
62%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.73/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.69
-5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
27.1 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Manta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
276 Passes 192
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Manta Manta 3-0 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
25.10.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-1 Manta Manta EKV1
31.08.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
10.05.2025 Manta Manta 2-1 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
15.08.2021 Manta Manta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
14.03.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 4-2 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-0
AWAY Manta
1.13 xG 0.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
233 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa edged past Manta 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 42% of the ball to Manta's 58%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.13 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.33 for Manta.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Manta?

Mushuc Runa 1-0 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 62%, draw 22%, Manta 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✓ Under 2.5
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