Madura United 2-1 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.43/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
264 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Persik Kediri
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 286
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-2 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
28.04.2025 Madura United Madura United 2-1 HT 1-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
06.12.2024 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.01.2023 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
06.08.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
05.03.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 2-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
2-1
AWAY Persik Kediri
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United edged past Persik Kediri 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Madura United had 39% of the ball to Persik Kediri's 61%, shots finished 13-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Madura United and 1.17 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persik Kediri?

Madura United 2-1 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Madura United 41%, draw 31%, Persik Kediri 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
11 Apr 2026
11:30 Borneo FC vs PSBS Biak Numfor Analysis →
15:00 Persijap Jepara vs Bhayangkara United Analysis →
15:00 Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya Analysis →