Persija Jakarta 3-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.83/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.73
+5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persija Jakarta
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
307 Passes 465
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-3 HT 0-2 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
12.04.2025 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
22.11.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 0-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
16.12.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
14.02.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-3 HT 1-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
26.10.2021 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persija Jakarta ran out comfortable winners over Persebaya Surabaya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Persija Jakarta as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Persija Jakarta and 1.50 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persija Jakarta 3-0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persija Jakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Persija Jakarta 54%, draw 25%, Persebaya Surabaya 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persija Jakarta) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persija Jakarta) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
11 Apr 2026
11:30 Madura United vs Persik Kediri Analysis →
11:30 Borneo FC vs PSBS Biak Numfor Analysis →
15:00 Persijap Jepara vs Bhayangkara United Analysis →