Kazincbarcika 0-3 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 59%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.42
-45% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 84%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
13.4 Crosses 12.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazincbarcika
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 2.24
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
208 Passes 440
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 30
3 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC
20.09.2025 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 2-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazincbarcika
0-3
AWAY Ujpest
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Kazincbarcika vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest ran out comfortable winners over Kazincbarcika 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ujpest as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kazincbarcika had 42% of the ball to Ujpest's 58%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kazincbarcika and 1.00 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Kazincbarcika vs Ujpest?

Kazincbarcika 0-3 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazincbarcika vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kazincbarcika 18%, draw 22%, Ujpest 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ BTTS Yes
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