MTK Budapest 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.90/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.12
+19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.2 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 1.18
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
503 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
21.09.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
08.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.07.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.03.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 HT 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
3-0
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
3.08 xG 0.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
513 Passes 414
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest cruised past Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; MTK Budapest found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 55% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 45%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.08 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for MTK Budapest and 0.83 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

MTK Budapest 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 35%, draw 31%, Zalaegerszegi TE 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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