Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.38/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.66
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
16.2 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
0W-3D-3L
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.71 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 497
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
08.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.07.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.03.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 HT 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.11.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1-1
AWAY MTK Budapest
3.09 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
484 Passes 338
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zalaegerszegi TE at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 57% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 43%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.09 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.33 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 51%, draw 22%, MTK Budapest 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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