Al Ahly vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahly v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahly vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Ahly
MSR
3-1
HT 3-0
Smouha
MSRK
Al Ahly 2-1 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Smouha 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Ahly had 69% of the ball to Smouha's 31%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.55 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahly and 0.17 for Smouha.
What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Smouha?
Al Ahly 2-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 68%, draw 19%, Smouha 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.