Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.65/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.91
+14% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Warta Poznan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 3-1 HT 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
24.02.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
10.08.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
0-1
AWAY Warta Poznan
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Warta Poznan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 57% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 43%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.33 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Warta Poznan?

Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 34%, draw 28%, Warta Poznan 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5
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