Olimpia Grudziadz 3-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.01/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.68
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kalisz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 0-3 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
28.03.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
30.08.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
07.08.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POLK
18.05.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
04.11.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 2-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
3-1
AWAY Kalisz
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz got the better of Kalisz 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 54% of the ball to Kalisz's 46%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpia Grudziadz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 0.67 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kalisz?

Olimpia Grudziadz 3-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 61%, draw 22%, Kalisz 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
11 Apr 2026
13:15 Stal Stalowa Wola vs Warta Poznan Analysis →
16:00 NKP Podhale vs Slask Wroclaw II Analysis →
19:00 Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Lodz II Analysis →