Kalisz 0-3 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 50%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.19/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.57
-6% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
30.08.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
07.08.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POLK
18.05.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
04.11.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 2-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
29.05.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-3
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz ran out comfortable winners over Kalisz 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kalisz had 40% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 60%, shots finished 3-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kalisz and 1.00 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Kalisz 0-3 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 30%, draw 28%, Olimpia Grudziadz 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ BTTS Yes
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