Puchov 1-2 Petrzalka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puchov EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrzalka EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.40/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.04
-4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puchov
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Petrzalka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Petrzalka Petrzalka 4-0 HT 3-0 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
16.05.2025 Puchov Puchov 3-1 HT 2-1 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
02.11.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-2 HT 0-2 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
24.03.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 4-2 HT 2-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
02.09.2023 Puchov Puchov 5-0 HT 3-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
30.10.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-0 HT 1-0 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puchov
1-2
AWAY Petrzalka
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puchov vs Petrzalka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrzalka squeezed past Puchov 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Puchov at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Puchov had 52% of the ball to Petrzalka's 48%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Puchov and 1.83 for Petrzalka.

What was the final score of Puchov vs Petrzalka?

Puchov 1-2 Petrzalka in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puchov vs Petrzalka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puchov win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Puchov 45%, draw 23%, Petrzalka 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puchov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puchov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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