Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.55/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.69
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
451 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.1 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Bratislava
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.77 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.02.2026 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 4-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
18.02.2026 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLOVK
18.10.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-2 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
19.04.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-3 HT 1-2 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
15.04.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-1 HT 1-1 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLOVK
02.04.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-1 HT 2-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Bratislava
2-2
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.72 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
367 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava and Spartak Trnava couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Bratislava at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slovan Bratislava had 59% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.72 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 1.00 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Slovan Bratislava 53%, draw 24%, Spartak Trnava 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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