Spartak Trnava 2-3 Slovan Bratislava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
17%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
51%
Away Win
51%
-0.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 56%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +30%
0.87/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.22
-34% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
15.1 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.66 xG 1.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 Passes 511
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.04.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-1 HT 1-1 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLOVK
02.04.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-1 HT 2-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
16.03.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
01.03.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
19.10.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
21.04.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 1-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
2-3
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
0.82 xG 4.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
278 Passes 392
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 42
20 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava edged past Spartak Trnava 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slovan Bratislava as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 44% of the ball to Slovan Bratislava's 56%, shots finished 4-25, expected goals 0.82 to 4.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slovan Bratislava's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.17 for Slovan Bratislava.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?

Spartak Trnava 2-3 Slovan Bratislava in the Slovakia Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 24%, draw 25%, Slovan Bratislava 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Bratislava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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