Zemplin Michalovce 3-2 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.33/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.39
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
19.9 Crosses 19.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Trencin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.85 xG 1.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
236 Passes 367
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Trencin Trencin 3-2 HT 2-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
14.12.2024 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
14.09.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-1 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
04.05.2024 Trencin Trencin 1-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
06.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
04.11.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
3-2
AWAY Trencin
1.93 xG 2.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
305 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zemplin Michalovce vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zemplin Michalovce nicked a narrow win over Trencin 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zemplin Michalovce as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zemplin Michalovce had 47% of the ball to Trencin's 53%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.93 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trencin led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zemplin Michalovce and 0.83 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Zemplin Michalovce vs Trencin?

Zemplin Michalovce 3-2 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zemplin Michalovce vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zemplin Michalovce win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zemplin Michalovce 46%, draw 26%, Trencin 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
19 Apr 2025
19:00 Podbrezova vs Zilina Analysis →
19:00 Skalica vs Ruzomberok Analysis →
21:30 Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →