Spartak Trnava 2-1 Slovan Bratislava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.92
+10% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.54 xG 1.14
38% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
216 Passes 505
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-1 HT 2-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
16.03.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
01.03.2025 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
19.10.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
21.04.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 1-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
17.03.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
2-1
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava nicked a narrow win over Slovan Bratislava 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Spartak Trnava found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 49% of the ball to Slovan Bratislava's 51%, shots finished 15-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.00 for Slovan Bratislava.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?

Spartak Trnava 2-1 Slovan Bratislava in the Slovakia - Cup on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 37%, draw 25%, Slovan Bratislava 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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