Bouchamma 4-1 US Ksour Sef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bouchamma EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY US Ksour Sef EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.65/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.00
+9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +45%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bouchamma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY US Ksour Sef
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.11.2025 US Ksour Sef 3-1 HT 2-0 Bouchamma TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bouchamma
4-1
AWAY US Ksour Sef
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bouchamma vs US Ksour Sef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bouchamma swept aside US Ksour Sef 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bouchamma as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bouchamma had 51% of the ball to US Ksour Sef's 49%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Bouchamma vs US Ksour Sef?

Bouchamma 4-1 US Ksour Sef in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bouchamma vs US Ksour Sef?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bouchamma win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bouchamma 58%, draw 25%, US Ksour Sef 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bouchamma) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bouchamma) ✗ BTTS No
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