Kasserine 2-1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasserine EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.79
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasserine
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 HT 0-0 Kasserine Kasserine TUN2
23.02.2025 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2-1 Kasserine Kasserine TUN2
POST-MATCH Kasserine vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasserine nicked a narrow win over Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 35% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kasserine found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kasserine and 1.50 for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.

What was the final score of Kasserine vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Kasserine 2-1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasserine vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Before kick-off our model rated an Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kasserine 30%, draw 35%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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