Moknine 0-2 Stade Gabesien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
50%
Away Win
44%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moknine EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 48%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
1.70/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.49
+95% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -74%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moknine
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Gabesien
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2025 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien 4-1 HT 2-1 Moknine TUN2
18.03.2023 Moknine 3-1 HT 2-0 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien TUN2
POST-MATCH Moknine vs Stade Gabesien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Gabesien saw off Moknine 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stade Gabesien as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Moknine and 2.50 for Stade Gabesien.

What was the final score of Moknine vs Stade Gabesien?

Moknine 0-2 Stade Gabesien in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moknine vs Stade Gabesien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Gabesien win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Moknine 21%, draw 29%, Stade Gabesien 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Gabesien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Gabesien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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