Korba 1-0 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korba EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.24/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.61
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korba
2W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Ariana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2025 AS Ariana 0-2 HT 0-1 Korba Korba TUN2
13.04.2025 AS Ariana 2-0 Korba Korba TUN2
31.05.2024 Korba Korba 2-1 HT 1-1 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korba
1-0
AWAY AS Ariana
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Korba vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korba nicked a narrow win over AS Ariana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Korba as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Korba had 53% of the ball to AS Ariana's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Korba had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Korba and 1.00 for AS Ariana.

What was the final score of Korba vs AS Ariana?

Korba 1-0 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korba vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korba win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Korba 61%, draw 24%, AS Ariana 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Korba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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