Östers vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Östers v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals
Östers vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Östers 0-1 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics
Elfsborg shaded a tight game against Östers 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Östers had 59% of the ball to Elfsborg's 41%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 1.42 to 2.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Elfsborg's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Östers and 2.20 for Elfsborg.
Östers vs Elfsborg Result & Final Score
Östers 0 - 1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Östers vs Elfsborg Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Östers 25%, draw 27%, Elfsborg 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.