Vikingur R. 3-1 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
28%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur The Market 23%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.87/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.68
+20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.5 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
05.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 HT 2-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
12.05.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
28.09.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
08.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-3 HT 1-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
14.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
3-1
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.66 xG 1.13
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
399 Passes 198
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. beat FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 62% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 38%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.66 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured FH Hafnarfjordur.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.67 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Vikingur R. 3-1 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 52%, draw 22%, FH Hafnarfjordur 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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