KA Akureyri vs Breidablik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Breidablik — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Breidablik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
KA Akureyri 0-1 Breidablik — Actual Match Statistics
Breidablik squeezed past KA Akureyri 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 37% of the ball to Breidablik's 63%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.33 for Breidablik.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?
KA Akureyri 0-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?
Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 20%, draw 24%, Breidablik 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.