Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 May 2025

Eintracht Frankfurt
2-2 HT 1-2
St. Pauli
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Eintracht Frankfurt vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.96
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
16%
4.21
X/2
9%
11.2
X/X
9%
6.1
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
9%
8.72
2/X
5%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.20/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.59
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.2 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Eintracht Frankfurt vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
501 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.01.2025 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
30.10.2019 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2 HT 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
19.12.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL2
25.07.2011 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
19.03.2011 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
30.10.2010 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-3 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2-2
AWAY St. Pauli
1.66 xG 0.83
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
582 Passes 172
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt and St. Pauli shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Eintracht Frankfurt carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 73% of the ball to St. Pauli's 27%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.66 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.00 for St. Pauli.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs St. Pauli?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 55%, draw 22%, St. Pauli 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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