Stuttgart 4-0 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 May 2025

Stuttgart
4-0 HT 1-0
Augsburg
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.52
2-3 Goals
42%
2.03
4-5 Goals
22%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.52 — our 25% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.91
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.43
X/2
11%
11.55
X/X
13%
6.99
2/1
12%
19.15
2/2
10%
8.18
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
2.02/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.62
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.7 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Stuttgart vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Augsburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.93 xG 0.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
500 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.02.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AFK
12.01.2025 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
10.05.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
20.12.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
21.04.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
29.10.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Stuttgart 4-0 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
4-0
AWAY Augsburg
4.14 xG 0.47
71% Ball Possession 29%
29 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 2
603 Passes 207
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
53 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart cruised past Augsburg 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stuttgart had 71% of the ball to Augsburg's 29%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 4.14 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stuttgart and 0.33 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Augsburg?

Stuttgart 4-0 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 46%, draw 25%, Augsburg 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ BTTS Yes
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