Austria Wien 1-2 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.88
X/2
12%
7.21
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.65
2/2
10%
5.24
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.65 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -29%
1.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.99
+20% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.1 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
280 Passes 262
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
16.02.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
22.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 3-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
01.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
14.05.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 2-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
1-2
AWAY Rapid Wien
2.22 xG 1.27
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
341 Passes 178
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
40 Box Touches 8
37 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien nicked a narrow win over Austria Wien 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Wien at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Austria Wien had 64% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 36%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.22 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Austria Wien.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Austria Wien and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Austria Wien 1-2 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 44%, draw 28%, Rapid Wien 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Wien) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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