Viborg 3-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 11 May 2025

Viborg
3-1 HT 0-0
Aalborg
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Viborg vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.64
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.96
X/2
9%
7.73
X/X
9%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.55
2/2
17%
5.2
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.55 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.74/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.49
+1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
21.6 Crosses 19.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Viborg vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aalborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
410 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.03.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 0-4 HT 0-2 Viborg Viborg DAN
24.11.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
12.08.2024 Viborg Viborg 2-3 HT 2-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
02.03.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAK
24.10.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-3 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN

Viborg 3-1 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
3-1
AWAY Aalborg
2.45 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
414 Passes 337
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg beat Aalborg 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viborg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Viborg had 54% of the ball to Aalborg's 46%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.45 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Viborg and 1.00 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Aalborg?

Viborg 3-1 Aalborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Viborg 44%, draw 25%, Aalborg 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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