Libertad (Ekvador) 0-1 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.63
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
18%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Libertad (Ekvador) The Market 61%
Signal
AWAY Delfin The Market 22%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.74
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad (Ekvador)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Delfin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.98 xG 1.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
17.08.2023 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 1-3 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
18.03.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-2 HT 2-1 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
REVIEW Libertad (Ekvador) vs Delfin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Delfin came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Libertad (Ekvador) 1-0 away from home.

File this under upsets: a 59% lean on Libertad (Ekvador) went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Delfin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Libertad (Ekvador) against 1.75 for Delfin.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Delfin Result & Final Score

Libertad (Ekvador) 0 - 1 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Delfin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad (Ekvador) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Libertad (Ekvador) 59%, draw 23%, Delfin 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Libertad (Ekvador)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
11 May 2025
21:00 Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente Del Valle Analysis →
23:30 Uni. Catolica vs Barcelona SC Analysis →