AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 11 May 2025

AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AS Elfen Saitama (K) v Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.35/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.58
+75% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
21.04.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) nicked a narrow win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 47% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 53%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AS Elfen Saitama (K) and 1.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 28%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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