Urawa Red (K) 2-2 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.42/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.87
-21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
03.11.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
14.04.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-5 HT 0-5 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2-2
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) and Nojima Stella (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Urawa Red (K) carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 68% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 32%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Urawa Red (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Urawa Red (K) and 0.33 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 2-2 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 58%, draw 25%, Nojima Stella (K) 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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