Pacific FC 2-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
20.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 33% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.52/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.51
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.9 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY York United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
319 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
11.10.2024 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
03.08.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
20.06.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
05.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
12.10.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
2-1
AWAY York United
2.64 xG 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
360 Passes 347
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC edged past York United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Pacific FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pacific FC had 51% of the ball to York United's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.64 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pacific FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pacific FC and 1.00 for York United.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs York United?

Pacific FC 2-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 40%, draw 26%, York United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pacific FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
11 May 2025
00:30 HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry Analysis →