HFX Wanderers 0-3 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.77/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.07
+43% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.5 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cavalry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
352 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
10.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 3-2 HT 2-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
01.07.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
11.05.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
13.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
0-3
AWAY Cavalry
0.65 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
397 Passes 308
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry swept aside HFX Wanderers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cavalry found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Cavalry's 44%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.65 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.50 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

HFX Wanderers 0-3 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 34%, draw 27%, Cavalry 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
11 May 2025
03:00 Pacific FC vs York United Analysis →