Cavalry 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 13 Oct 2024

Cavalry
2-1
HFX Wanderers
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cavalry v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.97/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.44
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.8 Crosses 12.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 330
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 3-2 HT 2-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
01.07.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
11.05.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
13.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
17.06.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry squeezed past HFX Wanderers 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cavalry and 1.33 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?

Cavalry 2-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 47%, draw 29%, HFX Wanderers 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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