Marupe 2-0 Riga FC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
37%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
49%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 53%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.01/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.61
-19% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Riga FC II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.11.2024 Riga FC II Riga FC II 2-1 Marupe Marupe LET1
27.07.2024 Marupe Marupe 0-0 HT 0-0 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe got the better of Riga FC II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Marupe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Riga FC II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marupe and 1.00 for Riga FC II.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Riga FC II?

Marupe 2-0 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Riga FC II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marupe 39%, draw 24%, Riga FC II 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marupe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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