Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rigas FS II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progress / AFA Olaine v Rigas FS II — Team-Based Signals
Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rigas FS II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-2
Rigas FS II
LET1
1-0
Progress / AFA Olaine
LET1
Progress / AFA Olaine and Rigas FS II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Rigas FS II carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 2.33 for Rigas FS II.
What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rigas FS II?
Progress / AFA Olaine 3-3 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rigas FS II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 20%, draw 17%, Rigas FS II 62%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rigas FS II), BTTS No went the other way.