Super Nova 1-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
29%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.33/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.92
-24% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
26.3 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Auda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.38 xG 2.67
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
192 Passes 529
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.03.2025 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
02.03.2024 Auda Auda 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova HAZ
02.09.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
25.06.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-5 HT 0-4 Auda Auda LET
02.05.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
11.03.2023 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 2-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-1
AWAY Auda
0.42 xG 1.90
25% Ball Possession 75%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
116 Passes 499
57% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 45
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Super Nova vs Auda
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Super Nova and Auda shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11 May 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Super Nova had 25% of the ball to Auda's 75%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.42 to 1.90.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Super Nova and 2.00 for Auda.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Auda?

Super Nova 1-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 17%, draw 27%, Auda 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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