FK Tukums 2000 2-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.66/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.50
-29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.6 Crosses 17.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 3-2 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
06.10.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
22.07.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
08.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
23.09.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
2.30 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 saw off Metta / LU Riga 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Tukums 2000 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 52% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 48%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.30 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.00 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Metta / LU Riga?

FK Tukums 2000 2-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 43%, draw 30%, Metta / LU Riga 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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