Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metta / LU Riga v FK Tukums 2000 — Team-Based Signals
Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
1-1
HT 0-1
Metta / LU Riga
LET
Metta / LU Riga 3-2 FK Tukums 2000 — Actual Match Statistics
Metta / LU Riga squeezed past FK Tukums 2000 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Metta / LU Riga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 43% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 57%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.64 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 0.50 for FK Tukums 2000.
What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000?
Metta / LU Riga 3-2 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs FK Tukums 2000?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 38%, draw 28%, FK Tukums 2000 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metta / LU Riga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.