Liepaja vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v Grobina — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Liepaja
LETK
Liepaja 4-1 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja ran out comfortable winners over Grobina 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liepaja had 56% of the ball to Grobina's 44%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.98 to 2.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Grobina.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Grobina led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Liepaja and 1.40 for Grobina.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs Grobina?
Liepaja 4-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Grobina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 50%, draw 27%, Grobina 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.