Auda vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auda v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
Auda vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Super Nova
LET
0-5
HT 0-4
Auda
LET
0-2
HT 0-1
Auda
LET
2-0
HT 2-0
Super Nova
LET
3-0
HT 1-0
Super Nova
LET
Auda 1-0 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Auda squeezed past Super Nova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Auda had 65% of the ball to Super Nova's 35%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.90 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Auda's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Auda and 0.00 for Super Nova.
What was the final score of Auda vs Super Nova?
Auda 1-0 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auda vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Auda 56%, draw 23%, Super Nova 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.