Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
19%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leones Negros Udeg The Market 57%
Signal
AWAY Monarcas Morelia The Market 26%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
04.05.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
21.03.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
06.10.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
05.04.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-2 HT 0-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
19.11.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
16.11.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
REVIEW Leones Negros Udeg vs Monarcas Morelia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leones Negros Udeg put daylight between themselves and Monarcas Morelia 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Leones Negros Udeg against 0.83 for Monarcas Morelia.

Leones Negros Udeg vs Monarcas Morelia Result & Final Score

Leones Negros Udeg 2 - 0 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leones Negros Udeg vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 57%, draw 24%, Monarcas Morelia 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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