Katowice 2-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.0
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.29
X/2
11%
6.86
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
16%
4.58
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.59/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.96
-1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.9 Crosses 18.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.03 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
316 Passes 366
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 37
5 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-4 HT 1-2 Katowice Katowice POL
22.09.2015 Katowice Katowice 1-3 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
2-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.94 xG 1.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
343 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 38
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice edged past Cracovia Krakow 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Katowice found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Katowice had 51% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 49%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.94 to 1.81 — on chances, Cracovia Krakow could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Katowice and 3.00 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow?

Katowice 2-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Katowice 39%, draw 28%, Cracovia Krakow 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ BTTS Yes
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