Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
POL
2-2
HT 1-0
Lech Poznan
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Legia Varşova
POL
1-1
HT 1-1
Legia Varşova
POL
Legia Varşova 0-1 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 49% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 51%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.66 — on chances, Legia Varşova could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.50 for Lech Poznan.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan?
Legia Varşova 0-1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Lech Poznan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 45%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.