Akron 3-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
13.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.8
X/2
14%
5.19
X/X
14%
4.67
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
13%
3.13
2/X
10%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.39/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.93
+50% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
18.3 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.55 xG 1.04
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
316 Passes 209
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
3-2
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.52 xG 3.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 29
7 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 11
235 Passes 204
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 45
20 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Akron made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Akron had 54% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 46%, shots finished 14-29, expected goals 1.52 to 3.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Akron vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Akron 3-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Akron 34%, draw 29%, FC Akhmat Grozny 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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