Rubin Kazan 1-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 May 2025

Rubin Kazan
1-0 HT 0-0
Rostov
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Rubin Kazan vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.35
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.47
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.57
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · X/2 at 6.47 — our 17% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rubin Kazan v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.97/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.33
-19% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.0 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rubin Kazan vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rostov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
210 Passes 327
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
11.05.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 3-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
12.08.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
14.03.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS

Rubin Kazan 1-0 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
1-0
AWAY Rostov
0.89 xG 1.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
243 Passes 280
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan squeezed past Rostov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rubin Kazan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 47% of the ball to Rostov's 53%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.89 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.50 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Rostov?

Rubin Kazan 1-0 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 36%, draw 28%, Rostov 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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