Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fakel v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
1-0
HT 0-0
Fakel
RUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
Fakel 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow nicked a narrow win over Fakel 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Moscow found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Fakel had 45% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 55%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.62 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Fakel and 1.80 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Fakel 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fakel 37%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Moscow 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.