River Plate vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
River Plate v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals
River Plate vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
River Plate
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-1
River Plate
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-1
River Plate
ARJ
River Plate 2-2 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics
River Plate and San Lorenzo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. River Plate carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, River Plate had 73% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 27%, shots finished 30-5, expected goals 1.45 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for River Plate and 0.17 for San Lorenzo.
What was the final score of River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
River Plate 2-2 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split River Plate 58%, draw 26%, San Lorenzo 15%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.