Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.32
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.3
X/2
11%
7.66
X/X
14%
3.59
2/1
11%
32.0
2/2
10%
6.75
2/X
10%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.21/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.24
+5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.1 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 Passes 210
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2025 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
29.04.2025 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
14.05.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 3-1 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
10.02.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
14.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
31.01.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
0-1
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.37 xG 0.99
71% Ball Possession 29%
27 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 0
443 Passes 151
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
44 Box Touches 6
57 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gimnasia La Plata edged past Velez Sarsfield 1-0 away from home in the Argentina - Premier League on 11 May 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 71% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 29%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 1.37 to 0.99.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 1.50 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia La Plata 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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