Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.51
-28% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Boston River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
18.02.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
08.10.2023 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
26.02.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 3-2 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
24.09.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
25.04.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2-1
AWAY Boston River
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado edged past Boston River 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Maldonado as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 56% of the ball to Boston River's 44%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.67 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River?

Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 48%, draw 27%, Boston River 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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11 May 2026
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