Nacional de Football vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
Nacional de Football 4-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football swept aside Cerro 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 53% of the ball to Cerro's 47%, shots finished 17-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.83 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Cerro?
Nacional de Football 4-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 68%, draw 20%, Cerro 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.